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Strategy

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage

Menno van Ravels - Alpha Factory

By - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

AI Quick Summary: Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage Summary

Term

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage

Category

Strategy

Definition

Cash-and-carry arbitrage involves buying an asset in the spot market and simultaneously selling it at a higher price in the futures market, then holding until futures expiry when prices converge.

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Cash-and-carry arbitrage involves buying an asset in the spot market and simultaneously selling it at a higher price in the futures market, then holding until futures expiry when prices converge. The risk-free profit equals the initial spread minus financing and carrying costs.

Cash-and-carry arbitrage is one of the oldest and most fundamental arbitrage strategies, applied in commodities, equities, and now extensively in crypto through dated futures and perpetual funding mechanisms.

**The basic structure:**

When a futures contract trades at a premium to spot (known as 'contango'), an arbitrageur can: 1. Buy the underlying asset at spot price (e.g., BTC at $60,000) 2. Simultaneously sell a futures contract at a higher price (e.g., BTC March futures at $62,000) 3. Hold both positions until futures expiry 4. At expiry, futures and spot converge to the same price 5. Close both positions → profit = $2,000 minus borrowing costs and fees

**The 'carry' cost:** The name comes from 'carrying' the spot position until expiry. Carrying costs include: - Financing cost (cost to borrow capital to buy spot) - Storage/custody fees (minimal for crypto) - Opportunity cost of capital

If the futures premium exceeds total carry costs, the arbitrage is profitable.

**Risk-free? Not quite:** Cash-and-carry is often called a 'risk-free' trade in textbooks, but crypto introduces unique risks: - **Exchange counterparty risk:** If the exchange holding the futures position fails before expiry, the hedge unwinds - **Margin risk:** Futures margin requirements can force liquidation if spot rises sharply (you're short futures, which loses if price rises before expiry — even if you recover at expiry) - **Execution risk:** Large trades create slippage that erodes the spread

**CME Bitcoin futures and institutional cash-and-carry:** Institutional traders run large cash-and-carry positions using CME Bitcoin futures (U.S.-regulated) as the short side with spot ETF or cold-storage BTC as the long. This became a key institutional trade after the Bitcoin ETF launch in 2024 — the futures premium often exceeded 10% annualized, providing institutional-grade risk-adjusted returns.

**The reverse:** When futures trade below spot (backwardation), the reverse trade (sell spot, buy futures) is profitable — but backwardation in crypto is rare and typically short-lived.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How does cash-and-carry differ from funding rate arbitrage?

Cash-and-carry uses dated futures that expire on a specific date, profiting when the futures-spot spread converges at expiry. Funding rate arbitrage uses perpetual futures and profits from the ongoing funding payment mechanism. Both are delta-neutral basis trades, but cash-and-carry has a defined expiry and guaranteed convergence mechanism, while funding rate arb has no expiry and requires actively monitoring for rate direction changes.

What are typical spreads for Bitcoin cash-and-carry?

During 2024's bull market with ETF-driven demand, CME Bitcoin futures often traded at 10–20% annualized premiums to spot, making institutional cash-and-carry very attractive. During bear markets, spreads compress to 2–5%. These spreads reflect the cost of gaining leveraged Bitcoin exposure via futures — whoever wants leveraged exposure pays the premium that arbitrageurs capture.

Can retail traders implement cash-and-carry arbitrage?

Yes, using perpetual-based variants on exchanges like Binance, Bybit, or OKX. The setup: buy spot BTC, short equivalent BTC perpetuals. Unlike dated futures, there's no expiry — you're harvesting the ongoing funding rate rather than futures convergence. Minimum viable size depends on exchange minimums and fee structures. Generally, positions under $10,000 may see fees erode most of the spread; the strategy scales better with larger capital.

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