1. Size
Compare unlock amount to circulating supply. The bigger the ratio, the higher the potential supply shock.
Token Unlocks Calendar
Token unlocks can quietly destroy good entries.
Most investors track price and sentiment, but ignore unlock schedules. That is where surprise dilution comes from. This page gives you a practical framework to use token unlock data before you allocate capital.
Premium members get live unlock monitoring inside Altcoin Rules with risk scoring, urgency context, and portfolio-aware alerts.
How to read a token unlock schedule
2. Timing
Days-to-unlock matters. Near-term events deserve more weight than unlocks months away.
3. Liquidity
Thin liquidity amplifies unlock pressure. Always compare unlock value to real trading depth.
Practical playbook before an unlock
- Reduce position size when unlock risk is high and market momentum is weak.
- Avoid adding aggressively right before large insider unlocks.
- Reassess after the event when the market has absorbed new supply.
- Combine unlock data with Risk Wave and DCA planning, not as a standalone signal.
FAQ
What is a token unlock?
A token unlock is when previously locked coins become transferable for insiders, early investors, or treasury wallets. Unlocks increase liquid supply and can create short-term sell pressure.
Why does a token unlock calendar matter?
Unlock calendars help you avoid surprise dilution. If a large percentage of circulating supply unlocks soon, price can underperform even when broader market sentiment is positive.
What unlock size is considered risky?
Risk usually rises when an upcoming unlock is meaningful relative to circulating supply and daily traded volume. A small unlock can be absorbed; a large unlock often requires tighter position sizing.
How should I use token unlock data in a DCA strategy?
Use unlock data as a risk filter. If a major unlock is near, reduce position size or delay entries until post-unlock volatility settles, then re-evaluate with trend and sentiment indicators.