All updates
Improvement
Cycle Map — A Match Score You Can Trust
The match percentage now measures how close a past cycle actually ran to today's path, and OTHERS joins as a fourth lens.
Jul 29, 2026
Alpha Factory updates can mention product signals, indicators, or portfolio workflows. They are educational product context, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
The old match score was a correlation. That let a cycle the current one never came close to score 74%, just because the day-to-day rhythm rhymed. Not useful.
The score now measures distance. 98% means that cycle sat within 2% of today's path on an average day. Level and direction both count, and the ranking follows the exact same number.
Also in this round:
- A methodology card under the cycle cards explains what the score does and does not mean, including why early scores swing around
- OTHERS joins BTC, ETH and TOTAL — the altcoin market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, with history back to 2013
- The redundant "All cycles" and "Full cycle" buttons are gone, and every date renders in UTC so it no longer shifts with your timezone
Find it at Tools → BTC Cycle Map.