All updates
Improvement
Statement Overlay — Graded Per Chart
Every call is now scored against the chart it was actually about, and the headline accuracy dropped because of it.
Aug 7, 2026
Alpha Factory updates can mention product signals, indicators, or portfolio workflows. They are educational product context, not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
The Statement Overlay had a grading problem. If I talked about BTC and the alts in one breath, the verdict from the first chart got stamped onto every other chart. Neutral remarks ended up in the trade bucket and got graded as if they were calls. And level calls could be marked correct on a technicality.
That is all fixed:
- Every call is graded per chart now, against that chart's own price series and its own direction
- Neutral statements stay neutral — they no longer get a verdict at all
- Level calls have to be genuinely right, not trivially right
- The base rate sits next to the accuracy number, so you can see whether I am beating a coin flip
- A search field, a list view and a month jump, so you can find one specific call in seconds
- The threshold for what counts as a move is now set per coin, based on that coin's own volatility
Fair warning: my BTC accuracy went down, not up. That is what happens when you stop counting the easy ones. Open Statement Overlay under Analytics in the sidebar and check the receipts yourself.