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Gaming Playbook

Axie Infinity Bear Market Plan (2026)

Prepare for deep drawdowns with a survival-first plan for capital and psychology.

Menno — Alpha Factory

By Menno — 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last updated: April 2026

Most investors lose money on Axie Infinity because they enter without a rules-based system. Gaming projects depend on sustained player activity, retention, and in-game economy health. Alpha Factory classifies Axie Infinity as high risk. The goal is to make AXS decisions repeatable across bull and bear conditions.

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Plan Objectives

  • •Prioritize capital preservation over aggressive growth.
  • •Use risk indicators to adjust exposure gradually.
  • •Keep dry powder for high-conviction opportunities.

Execution Framework

  1. 1

    Reduce position size targets for AXS and prioritize capital preservation over aggressive growth.

  2. 2

    Increase cash or stablecoin reserves so you can buy high-conviction dips selectively.

  3. 3

    Focus on fundamentals: active users, development velocity, and token utility during weak market regimes.

  4. 4

    Rebuild exposure gradually only when macro risk indicators and market structure begin to improve.

Signals To Watch

  • Players breed, battle, and trade NFT creatures called Axies, with each Axie having unique genetic traits
  • Ronin is a purpose-built Ethereum sidechain developed by Sky Mavis to handle Axie high transaction volume
  • AXS token is used for governance and staking, while SLP (Smooth Love Potion) fuels in-game breeding

Risk Checklist

  • Ronin suffered a 625M USD bridge hack in March 2022, one of the largest crypto exploits on record, damaging user trust
  • The play-to-earn economy proved unsustainable as SLP inflation and declining player growth caused token prices to collapse
  • Retaining players for gameplay quality rather than financial incentives has been a persistent product challenge

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Axie Infinity worth holding in a bear market?
It can be, but position size should be reduced and thesis quality should be re-validated more frequently.
How do I avoid panic selling AXS during deep drawdowns?
Predefine your downside plan: allocation limits, review points, and exact triggers for reducing or maintaining exposure.
Should I keep buying Axie Infinity in a bear market?
Buy selectively and slowly. Continue only when your thesis still holds and market-risk signals are not deteriorating further.

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