Step 1
Cap position size before you optimize entries.
Crypto Risk Hub
By Menno van Ravels - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions
Last reviewed: April 2026
Use one hub for market heat, Bitcoin cycle context, and a calmer portfolio process.
The Crypto Risk Index is currently 33/100 in the Fear zone. Bitcoin Risk Wave is 25/100 and reads Accumulation Bias. Updated: . Methodology →
Source: Alpha Factory Risk Hub · 2026-05-02This is the canonical risk cluster now. The old index page, risk-management page, and Risk Wave page no longer need to compete with each other to explain the same workflow.
Jump to the right layer
Categories
17 live groups
Coin coverage
1000+ tracked coins
Overview
Start with the broad market before you judge a single coin.
Category context and coin coverage still matter. They now live inside the same risk workflow instead of being stranded from the practical framework.
Fear
Crypto Risk Index
The broad market is currently in the fear zone.
Top 10 Lowest Risk
| # | Coin | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopring LRC | 11 |
| 2 | Honey HONEY | 11 |
| 3 | Constellation DAG | 11 |
| 4 | Gigachad |
Risk Framework
Most portfolios break because the rules were never defined before euphoria.
The old standalone risk-management guidance now sits beside the live indicators. The job of the framework is simple: cap size, separate core holdings from higher-beta ideas, and pre-plan what overheating looks like.
Useful follow-through
Step 2
Separate BTC and ETH core exposure from smaller altcoin risk.
Step 3
Review exposure with a cold head before the market gets euphoric.
Step 4
If you cannot explain the downside in portfolio terms, the position is too loose.
Bitcoin Risk Wave
Check the live cycle signal without leaving the risk hub.
25/ 100
Accumulation Bias
Below 25 has historically aligned with accumulation conditions. Above 75 is where protecting gains usually matters more than forcing new size.
Price is moderately below the long-term moving average — still in the accumulation zone.
BTC has only spent 2.4% of its history at this risk level — this is rare territory.