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Menno — Alpha Factory

By Menno — 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last updated: April 2026

Crypto Risk Index

The Crypto Risk Index is currently at 14/100 — in the Extreme Fear zone. Market conditions are showing elevated fear — historically a favorable window for disciplined DCA accumulation.

Financial Disclaimer: Risk scores are computed from publicly available market data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or endorsements. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk of loss.

14/100

Extreme Fear

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Risk by Category

DeFi

11avg

77 coins

Infrastructure

10avg

60 coins

Layer 1

12avg

57 coins

Gaming

9avg

36 coins

AI & Compute

17avg

24 coins

Meme

11avg

21 coins

Layer 2

7avg

21 coins

Payments

18avg

11 coins

Exchange

16avg

10 coins

NFT

—avg

10 coins

Enterprise

11avg

8 coins

Privacy

—avg

8 coins

Entertainment

—avg

3 coins

Top 10 Lowest Risk

#CoinScoreRisk LevelCategory
1Theta Network THETA5Very Low RiskInfrastructure
2Flow FLOW5Very Low RiskLayer 1
3Seedify SFUND5Very Low RiskGaming
4Optimism OP5Very Low RiskLayer 2
5VeChain VET6Very Low RiskEnterprise
6Beam BEAM6Very Low RiskGaming
7Polygon MATIC6Very Low RiskLayer 2
8Immutable X IMX6Very Low RiskLayer 2
9The Graph GRT7Very Low RiskInfrastructure
10Arbitrum ARB7Very Low RiskLayer 2

Top 10 Highest Risk

#CoinScoreRisk LevelCategory
1TRON TRX42NeutralLayer 1
2Bittensor TAO35Low RiskAI & Compute
3Bitcoin Cash BCH32Low RiskPayments
4Maker MKR30Low RiskDeFi
5Solana SOL20Low RiskLayer 1
6Render RENDER20Very Low RiskAI & Compute
7Ethereum ETH20Very Low RiskLayer 1
8Axie Infinity AXS17Very Low RiskGaming
9Akash Network AKT17Very Low RiskAI & Compute
10BNB BNB16Very Low RiskExchange

How to Use This Index

The Crypto Risk Index is designed to complement — not replace — your own research. Use it as a high-level gauge of market conditions to inform position sizing and DCA timing.

Below 35 (Fear): Historically, these are periods where accumulating quality assets via DCA has produced the best long-term results.

35–65 (Neutral): Continue your regular DCA schedule. Markets are neither over-extended nor presenting obvious opportunity.

Above 65 (Greed): Consider reducing new entries, tightening stop-losses, and taking partial profits on positions that have run significantly.

Alpha Factory members get real-time risk alerts, historical scoring, and AI-powered analysis for 200+ coins

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Crypto Risk Index?

The Crypto Risk Index is a market-cap-weighted composite score derived from the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market cap. It combines 9 risk indicators — including Risk Wave, RSI, Fear & Greed, and funding rates — into a single 0-100 score that reflects overall crypto market risk conditions.

How often is the index updated?

The index is recalculated every 6 hours (3 times per day) using the latest available data from on-chain metrics, market sentiment, and price action indicators.

What do the risk zones mean?

Scores below 35 indicate Fear (historically favorable DCA windows), 35-65 is Neutral, and above 65 indicates Greed (historically elevated risk). Extreme zones below 20 or above 80 represent the strongest signals.

How is the index different from the Fear & Greed Index?

While the Fear & Greed Index focuses on Bitcoin sentiment, our Crypto Risk Index covers 50+ assets across 13 categories and includes coin-specific indicators like token unlocks and funding rates that the Fear & Greed Index does not track.

← Risk HubRisk Wave →Fear & Greed →