Free Tool — One Backtest
Fear & Greed Strategy Backtester
Set buy and sell thresholds based on market sentiment, then run a free backtest against historical BTC data.
One free run — no account needed
sell
"5x, not a long term hold anyway. Closed the position"
Logged on Sep 29, 2026
Alpha Factory Methodology
How Alpha Factory reads the crypto market
The goal is not to print a fake-precise USD target. The goal is to understand when the broader market regime and crypto market conditions are aligned enough to support a stronger outcome.
Risk Wave Score (0-100)
Risk Wave measures how far the crypto market has stretched above or below its long-term trend. Lower readings usually create better long-horizon entry windows, while hotter readings argue for patience and smaller sizing.
Study Risk WaveAltcoin Rules Composite (0-100)
Altcoin Rules is Alpha Factory's multi-signal structural check. It looks at momentum, dominance, sentiment, and on-chain quality so we can judge whether any altcoin is improving internally or only moving because the whole market is floating higher.
Explore Altcoin RulesDCA Timing Framework
Alpha Factory's DCA signals — Fear & Greed combined with Risk Wave — tell you WHEN to enter, not just that you should DCA. Instead of investing blindly on a fixed schedule, you deploy more capital when conditions are statistically favourable and hold back when risk is elevated.
Put together, these three inputs help us frame probabilities instead of pretending certainty.