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News Radar: crypto news events on a price chart

Menno van Ravels - Alpha Factory

By - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last reviewed:

6 min readFree to read

News Radar puts the crypto news events that mattered on top of a price chart. Each dot is one event on its date, coloured bullish or bearish and scored for impact from 5 to 10, so you can see what the market did around it. It shows context, not cause, and it is not a forecast or a signal.

Impact scale
5–10

only events scoring 5 or higher are shown

Event types
2

bullish or bearish, in 7 categories

Price data
CoinGecko

daily price series; some Bitcoin history can come from a backup source

Daily review
07:15 UTC

recent news is scored once a day

Schematic — illustrative price and events, not real news

01What is News Radar?

News Radar is a chart that answers one question: what was going on in the news when the price moved? It draws the price line for an asset and marks the important news events on the date they happened.

Each event is a dot. A green dot is a bullish event, a red dot is a bearish one. The dot carries a short title, a write-up and a source. Below the chart you also get a list of the latest market news articles, so the history and today's headlines sit on one page.

It is built for context. Seeing that a big regulation story landed in the middle of a drop helps you remember why the market felt the way it did. It does not tell you what comes next.

02How do you read the chart?

Three things on each dot matter: the colour, the impact score and the category. Colour tells you whether the event was good or bad news for the market. The impact score runs from 5 to 10, where a higher number means a bigger event. Events below 5 are not shown at all.

Events that land close together are grouped into one cluster dot, so the chart does not turn into a wall of dots. How close is close depends on how much of the chart you are looking at: the more history is in view, the wider the grouping window gets. Zoomed in, only events a few days apart merge. A cluster can mix bullish and bearish news when you are viewing all news.

You can switch the chart metric between Impact (how big the events are) and Event count (how many there are). The sentiment filter lets you show all news, only bullish events or only bearish events.

How do you read the chart?
CategoryWhat it covers
RegulationLaws, court cases and rulings
MacroInterest rates and the wider economy
InstitutionalLarge companies and funds
SecurityHacks and failures
TechNetwork and protocol changes
DeFiDecentralised finance events
AdoptionNew real-world use

03Where do the events come from?

The events come from two places. A curated list of historical events is built into the tool. On top of that, an automated review runs once a day at 07:15 UTC. An AI model reads recent articles from our news feed, scores them and only keeps the ones that reach impact 7 or higher. Only events that pass this review are added to the chart, and the page shows when events were last reviewed.

The price line comes from CoinGecko, which supplies the daily price history, with a backup source for some long Bitcoin history. The same events are drawn over every asset you pick. They are market-wide news, not news filtered per coin. Besides Bitcoin and Ethereum you can overlay market totals, dominance lines, baskets such as memecoins or DeFi, and the Fear & Greed Index.

Because part of the scoring is automated, impact scores and the bullish or bearish label are judgements, not measurements. Read the write-up behind a dot before leaning on it.

04What do the averages and the correlation chip mean?

Above the chart, the bullish and bearish groups each show what the price did on average 24 hours, 7 days and 30 days after their events. Next to them sits the baseline drift: what the price did on an average day across the whole loaded history, with or without news. Comparing the two shows whether event days looked different from normal days.

A small chip at the top shows how closely news sentiment and the following 7-day price move lined up. It is labelled weak, moderate or strong and appears once there are at least 3 matched events. The tooltip shows how many events it is based on. More events give a more reliable read. With fewer than 5 events in a group, the averages are replaced by a note that there are too few events.

Smoothing is a separate option. Raw shows the price as it is. 7D avg and 30D avg replace each day with an average of the days around it, which calms the line and makes bigger swings easier to see.

05What are the limits?

Keep these in mind before you read anything into a dot.

Timing is not cause

A dot next to a price move does not mean the news caused it. Many things happen on the same day, and the price can move before or after the story.

Small samples

Some groups only hold a handful of events. A short list of events can produce an average that says very little.

Judgement calls

Impact and bullish or bearish are scored, partly by an automated review. Another reader could score the same event differently. Mixed or unclear news is labelled bearish by the automated review, so a red dot is not always bad news.

Not a signal

The averages describe the past on this chart. They are not a forecast, and nothing here is financial advice. Compare it with [Risk Wave](/risk-wave) and other indicators.

06An example of use

A made-up example. You open Bitcoin and spot a red cluster with a high impact score during a long drop. You click it, read the write-ups and see that two regulation stories and one security story landed in the same fortnight. That gives you a picture of why sentiment was so poor at the time.

You then look at the bullish group average against the baseline and note that the sample is small, so you do not read much into it. For another angle on market mood, you could read our guide on DCA during extreme fear. News Radar helped you understand the period. It did not tell you what to do.

07What is free and what is Premium?

This explainer is free to read for everyone. In the app, free members get the Bitcoin chart with the full price history and all event dots. Dots and write-ups for the last 365 days are readable. Older dots still show on the chart, but their write-up is locked. Smoothing, the metric switch and the sentiment filter are free too, and so is the Bitcoin news list below the chart.

Premium unlocks the other assets, indexes and baskets, the range picker (90d, 1y, 2y, 3y, 5y and All), the impact and category filters, the readable write-ups on older events, and the news articles from all categories. See pricing for what is included today.

08Frequently asked questions

What is News Radar?

It is a price chart with important crypto news events marked on the date they happened. Each event has a bullish or bearish colour, an impact score from 5 to 10, a category and a short write-up.

Does the news cause the price move?

No. The chart shows what happened around an event, not what caused it. Other things happen on the same day, so a dot next to a move is context only.

How often does News Radar get new events?

An automated review runs once a day at 07:15 UTC. It scores recent articles and only adds events that reach impact 7 or higher.

What is free in News Radar?

Free members get the Bitcoin chart with the full price history and event dots, readable write-ups for the last 365 days, smoothing and the sentiment filter, and the Bitcoin news list. Other assets, the range picker, the impact and category filters, older write-ups and all news categories are Premium.

Can I use News Radar to predict the market?

No. The averages and the correlation chip describe the past on this chart, they are often based on small samples, and they are not a forecast or advice. Use it for context next to other indicators.

Open the News Radar

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Educational only - not financial advice. Crypto carries substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.