By Menno van Ravels - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions
Last reviewed: April 2026
Stacks (STX) Risk Score
Stacks (STX) has a composite risk score of 34.0/100, classified as Low Risk. This score is derived from 1 available core inputs and updates on a four-hour schedule for tracked coins. Smart contract platform bringing programmability to Bitcoin through proof of transfer.
Outdated reading — not current. This coin has not had a recent successful score calculation. Do not interpret the stored score as today's market conditions.
Stacks Risk Score
Outdated reading — not current
Calculated: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC. Underlying market series have their own dates.
What Does This Score Mean?
A score of 34.0 means Stacks is in the Low Risk zone. Scores below 40 indicate relatively lower risk conditions, while scores above 60 suggest elevated risk.
This composite is computed from the applicable core indicators including on-chain data, market sentiment, and price action. The individual indicator scores are available to Alpha Factory members.
Scoring Indicators
| Indicator | Configured weight | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Wave | 29.4% | Weighted core input |
| RSI (2-Week) | 11.8% | Weighted core input |
| 4Y High Distance | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| Coin Dominance | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| Fear & Greed Index | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| ALT/BTC Ratio | 23.5% | Weighted core input |
| BTC Production Cost | 17.6% | Weighted core input |
| Stablecoin Supply Ratio | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
| MVRV Z-Score | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
| Altcoin Breadth | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
1/10 core inputs were available when the score was calculated. Funding Rate and Token Unlocks are separate modifiers, not part of this core score. Pair-only indicators are excluded.
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Stacks Investment Context
Stacks positions itself as the smart contract layer for Bitcoin — the largest cryptocurrency by market cap and store of value. As Bitcoin adoption grows, demand for programmable Bitcoin applications (DeFi, NFTs, lending) creates a market Stacks is uniquely positioned to serve. The sBTC launch in 2024 was a significant step toward making this vision practical.
Key Features:
- Proof of Transfer (PoX) consensus anchors Stacks blocks to Bitcoin, inheriting Bitcoin's security guarantees
- Clarity is a decidable smart contract language designed to make contract behavior predictable and auditable
- STX holders can 'stack' tokens to earn BTC rewards, directly connecting STX yield to Bitcoin activity
- sBTC (launched 2024) is a trust-minimized Bitcoin peg enabling BTC to be used in Stacks DeFi applications
Key Risks:
- Bitcoin's conservative community is philosophically skeptical of adding complexity and programmability to Bitcoin
- Stacks transaction throughput is tied to Bitcoin's block time (~10 minutes), limiting speed for time-sensitive applications
- Competition from Lightning Network, Rootstock (RSK), and other Bitcoin Layer 2 approaches is intensifying
Layer 2 Category
Layer 2 solutions sit on top of Layer 1 blockchains to make them faster and cheaper.
Strategy: L2 tokens are more volatile than their parent chains. Size positions smaller and focus on projects with real transaction volume.
View all Layer 2 risk scores →Compare with Layer 2 Peers
| # | Coin | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celer Network CELR | 27 |
| 2 | Immutable IMX | 27 |
| 3 | Metis METIS | 28 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current risk score for Stacks?
Stacks (STX) has a latest stored Altcoin Rules score of 34.0/100, classified as "Low Risk". This score is derived from 1 available core inputs including Risk Wave, RSI, and market sentiment data.
How risky is Stacks compared to other Layer 2 coins?
Layer 2 coins generally carry high risk. Layer 2 solutions sit on top of Layer 1 blockchains to make them faster and cheaper. Among peers, Celer Network currently shows the lowest risk in this category.
What indicators are used to score Stacks?
The Stacks Altcoin Rules core score combines available, weighted market indicators. Current configured weights are listed below. Funding Rate and Token Unlocks are separate modifiers. Bitcoin excludes ALT/BTC Ratio; pair-only indicators are also excluded.
Should I invest in Stacks based on this risk score?
Risk scores are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Stacks positions itself as the smart contract layer for Bitcoin — the largest cryptocurrency by market cap and store of value. As Bitcoin adoption grows, demand for programmable Bitcoin applications (... Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.