By Menno van Ravels - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions
Last reviewed: April 2026
Hedera (HBAR) Risk Score
Hedera (HBAR) has a composite risk score of 21.1/100, classified as Low Risk. This score is derived from 9 available core inputs and updates on a four-hour schedule for tracked coins. Enterprise-grade public network using hashgraph consensus for fast, fair transactions.
Hedera Risk Score
Low Risk
Calculated: 2026-11-13 16:00 UTC. Underlying market series have their own dates.
What Does This Score Mean?
A score of 21.1 means Hedera is in the Low Risk zone. Scores below 40 indicate relatively lower risk conditions, while scores above 60 suggest elevated risk.
This composite is computed from the applicable core indicators including on-chain data, market sentiment, and price action. The individual indicator scores are available to Alpha Factory members.
Scoring Indicators
| Indicator | Configured weight | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Wave | 29.4% | Weighted core input |
| RSI (2-Week) | 11.8% | Weighted core input |
| 4Y High Distance | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| Coin Dominance | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| Fear & Greed Index | 5.9% | Weighted core input |
| ALT/BTC Ratio | 23.5% | Weighted core input |
| BTC Production Cost | 17.6% | Weighted core input |
| Stablecoin Supply Ratio | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
| MVRV Z-Score | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
| Altcoin Breadth | 0.0% | Context only (zero weight) |
9/10 core inputs were available when the score was calculated. Funding Rate and Token Unlocks are separate modifiers, not part of this core score. Pair-only indicators are excluded.
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Hedera Investment Context
Hedera's council governance model — with participation from blue-chip enterprises like Google, Boeing, and Deutsche Telekom — provides enterprise credibility that few public networks can match. Its technical performance and predictable fee structure are designed for high-volume business applications. Tokenized assets and sustainability tracking are early traction areas for the network.
Key Features:
- Hashgraph consensus achieves finality in 3-5 seconds with claimed throughput of over 10,000 TPS
- Governed by the Hedera Governing Council, a rotating group of up to 39 global enterprises including Google and IBM
- Asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerant (aBFT) — the highest security guarantee available in distributed systems
- Fixed, predictable transaction fees denominated in USD (paid in HBAR), appealing for enterprise budgeting
Key Risks:
- The council governance structure is centralized relative to permissionless networks, which limits trustlessness
- HBAR supply is largely controlled by Hedera and the council, with ongoing unlock schedules creating sell pressure
- Enterprise blockchain adoption has historically been slower than predicted; many pilots do not reach production
Enterprise Category
Enterprise blockchain tokens serve B2B use cases like supply chain tracking and identity verification.
Strategy: Enterprise tokens move on partnership announcements and real adoption. Patience required.
View all Enterprise risk scores →Compare with Enterprise Peers
| # | Coin | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | XDC Network XDC | 22 |
| 2 | VeChain VET | 27 |
| 3 | Ontology ONT | 34 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current risk score for Hedera?
Hedera (HBAR) has a latest stored Altcoin Rules score of 21.1/100, classified as "Low Risk". This score is derived from 9 available core inputs including Risk Wave, RSI, and market sentiment data.
How risky is Hedera compared to other Enterprise coins?
Enterprise coins generally carry medium risk. Enterprise blockchain tokens serve B2B use cases like supply chain tracking and identity verification. Among peers, XDC Network currently shows the lowest risk in this category.
What indicators are used to score Hedera?
The Hedera Altcoin Rules core score combines available, weighted market indicators. Current configured weights are listed below. Funding Rate and Token Unlocks are separate modifiers. Bitcoin excludes ALT/BTC Ratio; pair-only indicators are also excluded.
Should I invest in Hedera based on this risk score?
Risk scores are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Hedera's council governance model — with participation from blue-chip enterprises like Google, Boeing, and Deutsche Telekom — provides enterprise credibility that few public networks can match. Its te... Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.