Alpha Factory/Signals/Fantom
Layer 1

Fantom (FTM) Signals

$0.0455+9.1% (24h)

Risk Wave

635

Danger Zone

Alpha Factory monitors Fantom through Risk Wave

Risk Wave Analysis

Fantom's Risk Wave score is currently 635/100 — placing it in the Danger Zone.

Fantom is trading well above its long-term trend. Elevated risk — consider taking partial profits or tightening stop-losses.

Risk Wave measures how far FTM's price deviates from its long-term trend. Learn more →

Market Context

Fear & Greed

9/100

Extreme Fear

0

Category

Layer 1

Other Layer 1 coins:

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About Fantom

DAG-based smart contract platform known for fast finality.

  • Lachesis consensus achieves asynchronous Byzantine fault tolerance with near-instant finality
  • EVM-compatible, allowing Ethereum smart contracts and tooling to be deployed with minimal changes
  • Opera mainnet separates transaction ordering from execution to enable high throughput
  • Sonic upgrade (2024) targets 10,000+ TPS and includes a new developer incentive program

Investment thesis: Fantom attracted significant developer activity during the 2021 DeFi expansion due to its low fees and EVM compatibility. Its ongoing Sonic upgrade targets substantially higher throughput, positioning the network for future DeFi and application demand. The chain benefits from a mature validator set and an established ecosystem of DeFi protocols.

Key risks: Faces intense competition from other EVM-compatible Layer 1s such as Avalanche, BNB Chain, and newer chains. Key developer departures in 2023 raised questions about protocol continuity and long-term direction. Ecosystem activity remains closely tied to broader DeFi market sentiment, amplifying drawdowns in bear markets.

Menno — Alpha Factory

By Menno — 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last updated: March 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alpha Factory's Fantom signals?
Alpha Factory tracks Fantom (FTM) through its proprietary Risk Wave indicator, which measures how far FTM's price has deviated from its long-term trend. When combined with the Altcoin Rules framework — a composite score of 8 weighted market indicators — this produces actionable signals for when to accumulate, hold, or take profits on FTM.
What is Fantom's current risk score?
The Risk Wave score for FTM ranges from 0 to 100 and updates throughout the day. Scores below 30 have historically corresponded with strong buying opportunities, while scores above 70 signal elevated risk. Check this page for the current reading — and premium members can set alerts for zone changes.
How does Alpha Factory analyze Fantom?
Alpha Factory uses quantitative analysis for Fantom, combining the Risk Wave momentum indicator with the Altcoin Rules composite score. This approach evaluates FTM across multiple dimensions — trend position, market sentiment, relative strength, and macro indicators — rather than relying on any single metric.
Is Fantom a buy or sell right now?
Whether to buy or sell FTM depends on your personal situation, risk tolerance, and existing portfolio allocation. Alpha Factory's Risk Wave and Altcoin Rules provide the data — the current risk zone, market conditions, and historical context — but the decision is yours. Start a free trial to see the full analysis and make an informed decision.
How does Risk Wave work for Fantom?
For Fantom, Risk Wave calculates a 0-100 risk score by comparing the current FTM price to a dynamic long-term moving average. The algorithm adapts the averaging period based on how long FTM has been trading — newer assets use a shorter lookback period. The result is a clear, objective measure of where we are in FTM's price cycle.

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Related

Full Fantom analysisTrack recordRisk Wave explainedAltcoin Rules frameworkBitcoin signalsEthereum signalsSolana signals

This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk including the potential loss of all invested capital. Prices from CoinGecko. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.