Alpha Factory/Signals/Numeraire
AI & Compute

Numeraire (NMR) Signals

$7.22-2.9% (24h)

Risk Wave

3519

Danger Zone

Alpha Factory monitors Numeraire through Risk Wave

Risk Wave Analysis

Numeraire's Risk Wave score is currently 3519/100 — placing it in the Danger Zone.

Numeraire is trading well above its long-term trend. Elevated risk — consider taking partial profits or tightening stop-losses.

Risk Wave measures how far NMR's price deviates from its long-term trend. Learn more →

Market Context

Fear & Greed

9/100

Extreme Fear

Market Cap

$50.2M

Category

AI & Compute

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About Numeraire

Cryptocurrency powering Numerai, a hedge fund using crowdsourced AI prediction models.

Menno — Alpha Factory

By Menno — 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last updated: March 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alpha Factory's Numeraire signals?
Alpha Factory analyzes Numeraire using two core systems: Risk Wave, which scores the current risk of holding NMR from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk), and Altcoin Rules, which weighs 8 market indicators to produce an overall risk assessment. These signals help investors time their entries and exits without relying on emotion.
What is Numeraire's current risk score?
Numeraire's risk score is calculated in real-time using the Risk Wave indicator. A score below 30 indicates an Accumulation Zone (historically favorable entries), 30-70 is a Patience Zone (hold and monitor), and above 70 is a Danger Zone (consider taking profits). The score updates regularly based on NMR's price relative to its long-term moving average.
How does Alpha Factory analyze Numeraire?
Numeraire is analyzed using Alpha Factory's two core frameworks: Risk Wave (price-trend risk scoring) and Altcoin Rules (8-indicator market assessment). These quantitative tools remove the guesswork from AI & Compute investing by providing clear risk zones and actionable thresholds.
Is Numeraire a buy or sell right now?
The answer depends entirely on your goals and risk tolerance. What Alpha Factory provides is the data to make that decision intelligently: Risk Wave shows whether NMR is in a high-risk or low-risk zone, and Altcoin Rules scores the overall market environment. Premium members also see exactly how Menno is positioned in Numeraire. Try the free trial to access the full picture.
How does Risk Wave work for Numeraire?
Risk Wave measures how far Numeraire's current price has deviated from its long-term moving average. When NMR is trading well below trend, the score is low (Accumulation Zone) — historically, these have been favorable entry points. When price stretches far above trend, the score is high (Danger Zone) — signaling that the risk of a correction has increased. The score is calculated using a smoothed moving average calibrated to NMR's asset age.

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This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk including the potential loss of all invested capital. Prices from CoinGecko. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.