Alpha Factory

How this tool works

Statement Overlay: on-camera calls on a price chart

Menno van Ravels - Alpha Factory

By - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last reviewed:

7 min readFree to read

Statement Overlay takes the market calls Menno made on camera in his YouTube videos and places each one as a dot on the price chart, on the day he said it. Green dots are bullish, red dots are bearish and grey dots are neutral, so you can see what the market did around each call. It is a working map, still under editorial review, and not a verified track record, a forecast or advice.

Free window
12 months

free members read the last 365 days in full; older calls are blurred

Free chart
Bitcoin

other charts and coins are Premium

Price history
Market-specific

All history shows available price coverage; Fit calls focuses on the readable matching calls

Status
In review

matching is still under editorial review, the page says so itself

Schematic — illustrative price and calls, not real data

01What is Statement Overlay?

Statement Overlay answers one question: what was Menno saying about the market, and what was the market doing at that moment? It draws a price chart and puts a dot on every date where he made a call about that market in a video.

A call can be a prediction, a level he is watching, or something he bought or sold. The chart can be a coin such as Bitcoin, but also a market line such as Bitcoin dominance or the ALT/BTC ratio. Each dot belongs to the exact market the call was about, and it is placed at that market's daily value on that day.

The point is context. You can see where each statement sat on the price line and judge for yourself how the two fit together. The tool does not score the calls for you.

02How do you read the chart?

Each dot has a colour. Green means bullish on this chart, red means bearish on this chart and grey means neutral. The colour follows the chart you are looking at: a bullish remark about Bitcoin dominance can count as a bearish remark for the altcoin ratio, so the same sentence can show up in different colours on different charts.

Click a dot to read the short claim, the exact quotes and a link to the video. Calls that land close together on the same day are grouped, and a group whose calls disagree is shown in amber instead of green or red. Dimmed dots are lower-conviction context rather than a full call.

The Calls switch controls how much you see. The page opens on Key calls and you can change it at any time.

Use 3M or 1Y for recent price context, All history for the available price series, or Fit calls to bring the readable calls matching your current filters into view. The number and direction bar above the chart count individual statements inside the visible period, not grouped dots. Locked older statements do not contribute to that direction count. The header separately labels the count across filtered history.

Search looks through readable claims and their original quotes across the selected market's history. It includes every call type while a search is active. Matches are highlighted; you can sort newest or oldest first and page through every result. Selecting a result clears direction and theme filters, opens its date on the chart, and puts the selected claim first in its group. On a phone, the details appear below the chart. Clear search or Reset filters returns to browsing.

How do you read the chart?
FilterWhat it shows
TradesOnly calls that were an actual trade, buy call or position
Key callsThe default: his most confident directional calls and real trades, never neutral ones
AllThe full record, including dimmed lower-conviction dots
SentimentNarrows the chart to bullish, bearish or neutral dots
ThemeIsolates altseason calls or calls about taking profits

03Where do the calls and prices come from?

The calls come from the transcripts of Menno's YouTube videos. An AI model reads each transcript, pulls out the individual claims and quotes, and notes the market, the direction and how sure he sounded. The results are saved as a data set that ships with the site, and the page shows the date the statements were last extracted.

New videos are added in batches when the data set is refreshed, not live. A video from this week may not be on the chart yet. When a human editor corrects a label, moves a call to another chart or hides a video, that correction is applied on the page straight away.

The price line is a daily series for the chosen market. Most coins come from CoinGecko, with a backup source for some, and market totals, dominance and ratio lines are built from their own sources. Coin prices are kept for up to 30 minutes before they are fetched again. Available history varies by market; the visible date range is shown above the chart.

04What are the limits?

Please read the dots with these points in mind.

Under editorial review

The page states that matching is still under editorial review and should be treated as a working map. It is not a verified track record, even where the public page calls itself one.

AI reading of speech

A model turns spoken language into a claim, a direction and a confidence. Spoken language is loose, so some labels will be wrong or debatable. Another reader could place the same sentence differently.

Not every coin has a chart

Menno also mentioned many smaller coins that have no usable price chart here. They are counted in the data but cannot be drawn as dots.

No score, no signal

The chart does not say who was right. It shows what was said and what the market did, and it is not a forecast, a signal or financial advice.

05An example of use

A made-up example. You open Bitcoin on the Key calls setting and see a cluster of green dots in a stretch where the price kept falling. You click a few, read the quotes and see that they were mostly about buying slowly, not about a quick bounce.

You then switch to All and notice that many of the extra dots are dimmed context, not calls. That changes how you read the cluster. To see how sentiment looked at the same time, you could open the Fear & Greed Index or read how News Radar places news on a chart. The overlay gave you context, not a verdict.

06What is free and what is Premium?

This explainer is free to read for everyone. The tool itself has a free view that is open to visitors who are not logged in, and a full view for members. Free members get the Bitcoin chart with the full price line and every dot. The calls from the last 12 months are readable with their quotes and video link. Older calls still show as blurred dots, but their text, quotes and video are locked.

Premium unlocks every other chart and coin, plus the readable text, quotes and video links for the full multi-year record. Premium members can also share a snapshot of the chart. See pricing for what is included today, and the proof page for more on how we show our results.

07Frequently asked questions

What is Statement Overlay?

It is a price chart with the market calls Menno made on camera in his YouTube videos placed on it as dots, on the date of each call. Green is bullish, red is bearish and grey is neutral on that chart.

Is this a verified track record?

No. The page itself says the matching is still under editorial review and should be treated as a working map. The calls are read from transcripts by an AI model and some labels will be debatable.

How often is it updated?

The calls are refreshed in batches from new video transcripts, not live. The page shows the date the statements were last extracted. Coin price lines are fetched again after at most 30 minutes.

What is free in Statement Overlay?

The Bitcoin chart is free, and so are the full calls from the last 12 months. Older Bitcoin calls are blurred. Other charts and coins, and the readable older calls, are Premium.

Does it show which calls were right?

No. It shows what was said and what the price did around it. It does not grade the calls for viewers, and it is not a forecast, a signal or financial advice.

Why can the same call have different colours on different charts?

The colour follows the chart you are on. A bullish remark about Bitcoin dominance can be bearish for an altcoin ratio, so the same sentence can be green on one chart and red on another.

Open the Statement Overlay

See today's reading inside Alpha Factory.

Educational only - not financial advice. Crypto carries substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.