Gaming

Decentraland (MANA) Signals

Decentraland currently has a Risk Wave score of 34/100 (Patience Zone). Lower scores generally indicate better long-term accumulation conditions, while higher scores suggest elevated downside risk and a more defensive position-sizing approach.

$0.0744+1.9% (24h)

Risk Wave

Patience Zone

Risk Wave

34/100

Patience Zone

Fear & Greed

Fear

Coverage

Gaming

MANA · signal stack

Coverage

Gaming

MANA · signal stack

Risk Wave Analysis

Decentraland's Risk Wave score is currently 34/100 — placing it in the Patience Zone.

Decentraland is trading near its long-term trend. This zone suggests holding existing positions and monitoring for a clearer signal before adding.

Risk Wave measures how far MANA's price deviates from its long-term trend. Learn more →

Market Context

Fear & Greed

30/100

Fear

Market Cap

$145.8M

About Decentraland

Virtual reality platform where users create, experience, and monetize 3D content.

Browser-based 3D virtual world with 90,601 parcels of LAND as ERC-721 NFTs
Decentralized governance via a DAO controlling protocol parameters and treasury spending
Wearable NFT marketplace allowing users to create, sell, and wear custom 3D avatar items
SDK enables builders to create interactive scenes, games, and social experiences on owned land

Investment thesis: Decentraland was the first fully decentralized virtual world governed by a DAO, giving it pioneer status in the metaverse sector. Its DAO treasury holds significant reserves, and the project has hosted events with brands like Samsung, Sotheby's, and JPMorgan. MANA's burn mechanism on marketplace transactions creates a deflationary pressure tied to in-world economic activity.

Key risks: Daily active users have consistently numbered in the low thousands, far below mainstream game benchmarks. The browser-based 3D experience has performance and visual quality limitations compared to native game engines. Competing metaverse platforms with better graphics and gameplay could absorb developer and user interest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alpha Factory's Decentraland signals?

Alpha Factory analyzes Decentraland using two core systems: Risk Wave, which scores the current risk of holding MANA from 0 (lowest risk) to 100 (highest risk), and Altcoin Rules, which weighs multiple market indicators to produce an overall risk assessment. These signals help investors time their entries and exits without relying on emotion.

What is Decentraland's current risk score?

Decentraland's risk score is calculated in real-time using the Risk Wave indicator. A score below 30 indicates an Accumulation Zone (historically favorable entries), 30-70 is a Patience Zone (hold and monitor), and above 70 is a Danger Zone (consider taking profits). The score updates regularly based on MANA's price relative to its long-term moving average.

How does Alpha Factory analyze Decentraland?

Decentraland is analyzed using Alpha Factory's two core frameworks: Risk Wave (price-trend risk scoring) and Altcoin Rules (multi-indicator market assessment). These quantitative tools remove the guesswork from Gaming investing by providing clear risk zones and actionable thresholds.

Is Decentraland a buy or sell right now?

The answer depends entirely on your goals and risk tolerance. What Alpha Factory provides is the data to make that decision intelligently: Risk Wave shows whether MANA is in a high-risk or low-risk zone, and Altcoin Rules scores the overall market environment. Premium members also see exactly how Menno is positioned in Decentraland. Upgrade to Premium to access the full picture.

How does Risk Wave work for Decentraland?

Risk Wave measures how far Decentraland's current price has deviated from its long-term moving average. When MANA is trading well below trend, the score is low (Accumulation Zone) — historically, these have been favorable entry points. When price stretches far above trend, the score is high (Danger Zone) — signaling that the risk of a correction has increased. The score is calculated using a smoothed moving average calibrated to MANA's asset age.

This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk including the potential loss of all invested capital. Prices from CoinGecko. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

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Decentraland (MANA) Signals

Risk Wave Analysis

Market Context

About Decentraland

Frequently Asked Questions

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