Alpha Factory/Signals/Kaspa
Layer 1

Kaspa (KAS) Signals

$0.0309+0.2% (24h)

Risk Wave

1543

Danger Zone

Alpha Factory monitors Kaspa through Risk Wave

Risk Wave Analysis

Kaspa's Risk Wave score is currently 1543/100 — placing it in the Danger Zone.

Kaspa is trading well above its long-term trend. Elevated risk — consider taking partial profits or tightening stop-losses.

Risk Wave measures how far KAS's price deviates from its long-term trend. Learn more →

Market Context

Fear & Greed

9/100

Extreme Fear

Market Cap

$844.6M

Category

Layer 1

Other Layer 1 coins:

BitcoinEthereumSolanaCardano

About Kaspa

Proof-of-work cryptocurrency using blockDAG for high block rates and instant confirmation.

  • Uses the GHOSTDAG protocol, a blockDAG structure that allows parallel blocks to coexist without being orphaned
  • Achieves block rates of up to 1 block per second on mainnet, far exceeding traditional PoW chains
  • Maintains full Proof-of-Work security guarantees without relying on a central validator set
  • Transaction confirmation visibility is near-instant, while probabilistic finality increases over time

Investment thesis: Kaspa represents a novel approach to PoW scalability by replacing the traditional blockchain with a directed acyclic graph structure. This allows it to process transactions at much higher throughput than Bitcoin while retaining PoW security properties. Investors drawn to PoW ideals such as decentralization, no pre-mine, and open mining see Kaspa as one of the more technically credible PoW chains launched in recent years.

Key risks: No smart contract functionality limits its utility compared to programmable blockchains. Relatively young project with limited real-world adoption and ecosystem tooling. Competes for PoW miner attention against well-established chains with stronger brand recognition.

Menno — Alpha Factory

By Menno — 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions

Last updated: March 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alpha Factory's Kaspa signals?
Alpha Factory tracks Kaspa (KAS) through its proprietary Risk Wave indicator, which measures how far KAS's price has deviated from its long-term trend. When combined with the Altcoin Rules framework — a composite score of 8 weighted market indicators — this produces actionable signals for when to accumulate, hold, or take profits on KAS.
What is Kaspa's current risk score?
The Risk Wave score for KAS ranges from 0 to 100 and updates throughout the day. Scores below 30 have historically corresponded with strong buying opportunities, while scores above 70 signal elevated risk. Check this page for the current reading — and premium members can set alerts for zone changes.
How does Alpha Factory analyze Kaspa?
Alpha Factory uses quantitative analysis for Kaspa, combining the Risk Wave momentum indicator with the Altcoin Rules composite score. This approach evaluates KAS across multiple dimensions — trend position, market sentiment, relative strength, and macro indicators — rather than relying on any single metric.
Is Kaspa a buy or sell right now?
Whether to buy or sell KAS depends on your personal situation, risk tolerance, and existing portfolio allocation. Alpha Factory's Risk Wave and Altcoin Rules provide the data — the current risk zone, market conditions, and historical context — but the decision is yours. Start a free trial to see the full analysis and make an informed decision.
How does Risk Wave work for Kaspa?
For Kaspa, Risk Wave calculates a 0-100 risk score by comparing the current KAS price to a dynamic long-term moving average. The algorithm adapts the averaging period based on how long KAS has been trading — newer assets use a shorter lookback period. The result is a clear, objective measure of where we are in KAS's price cycle.

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Related

Full Kaspa analysisTrack recordRisk Wave explainedAltcoin Rules frameworkBitcoin signalsEthereum signalsSolana signals

This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk including the potential loss of all invested capital. Prices from CoinGecko. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.