Step 1
Cap position size before you optimize entries.
Crypto Risk Hub
By Menno van Ravels - 13 years in crypto, 3 bear markets survived, zero paid promotions
Last reviewed: April 2026
Use one hub for market heat, Bitcoin cycle context, and a calmer portfolio process.
The Crypto Risk Index is currently 38/100 in the Caution zone. Bitcoin Risk Wave is 37/100 and reads Hold zone. Updated: . Methodology →
Source: Alpha Factory Risk Hub · 2026-10-20This is the canonical risk cluster now. The old index page, risk-management page, and Risk Wave page no longer need to compete with each other to explain the same workflow.
Jump to the right layer
Categories
17 live groups
Coin coverage
1000+ tracked coins
Overview
Start with the broad market before you judge a single coin.
Category context and coin coverage still matter. They now live inside the same risk workflow instead of being stranded from the practical framework. Before you size a position, run the coin through Coin Check — team, age, and disclosed red flags matter as much as the risk score.
Caution
Other
36avg
760 coins
DeFi
39avg
48 coins
Layer 1
34avg
46 coins
Infrastructure
34avg
44 coins
Meme
35avg
17 coins
AI & Compute
36avg
15 coins
Explore by coin
Compare two coins
Side-by-side risk scores for the pairs people ask about most.
Ethereum vs Solana
Aave vs Uniswap
Chainlink vs Uniswap
Aave vs Solana
Solana vs TRON
Aave vs Chainlink
Avalanche vs Chainlink
Aave vs Avalanche
Litecoin vs Solana
Litecoin vs Polkadot
Crypto Risk Index
The broad market is currently in the caution zone.
Top 10 Lowest Risk
| # | Coin | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | edgeX EDGE | 13 |
| 2 | Goldfish Gold GGBR | 13 |
| 3 | EXOD EXOD | 13 |
| 4 | Fidelity Digital Dollar FIDD | 13 |
| 5 | ETHGas GWEI | 13 |
| 6 | Fogo FOGO | 13 |
| 7 | Fidelity Digital Interest Token FDIT | 13 |
| 8 | Dual DUAL | 13 |
| 9 | eBTC EBTC | 13 |
| 10 | InfiniFi USD IUSD | 13 |
Top 10 Highest Risk
Risk Framework
Most portfolios break because the rules were never defined before euphoria.
The old standalone risk-management guidance now sits beside the live indicators. The job of the framework is simple: cap size, separate core holdings from higher-beta ideas, and pre-plan what overheating looks like. If a specific project is the concern rather than the broad market, run it through Scam Check first.
Useful follow-through
Step 2
Separate BTC and ETH core exposure from smaller altcoin risk.
Step 3
Review exposure with a cold head before the market gets euphoric.
Step 4
If you cannot explain the downside in portfolio terms, the position is too loose.
Bitcoin Risk Wave
Check the live cycle signal without leaving the risk hub.
37/ 100
Hold zone
Below 25 has historically aligned with accumulation conditions. Above 75 is where protecting gains usually matters more than forcing new size.
Price is moderately below the long-term moving average.
BTC has spent 5.2% of its history at this level — uncommon but not extreme.
Next step